J. Pikoulas William J. Buchanan Mike Mannion K. Triantafyllopoulos An Agent-Based Bayesian Forecasting Model for Enhanced Network Security. 247-254 2001 conf/ecbs/2001 ECBS http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/ECBS.2001.922429 db/conf/ecbs/ecbs2001.html#PikoulasBMT01